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Red313
3393116.8
1778146.4
2412140.8
Blue213
3219149.8
2907107.0
3876106.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336235100200300400500313213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.43.7
132.1135.8
Auto19.7
Teleop110.0
End15.0
blue by 3.4
3219
#13
149.85.4
120.0125.5
Auto19.0
Teleop111.5
End21.8
Second
2412
#15
140.84.4
115.0119.5
Auto16.9
Teleop105.6
End22.1
red by 33.8
2907
#20
107.00.9
105.3104.4
Auto15.2
Teleop82.9
End11.7
Third
3393
#22
116.85.4
117.0122.3
Auto13.9
Teleop91.5
End6.0
red by 10.6
3876
#29
106.24.4
101.3105.7
Auto15.5
Teleop80.4
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed