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Red314
4469150.9
2906126.9
3219149.8
Blue212
323787.9
1983143.1
2605150.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308288150200250350400450314212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.91.5
142.5144.0
Auto15.8
Teleop112.2
End22.9
red by 0.9
150.10.8
141.9142.7
Auto21.6
Teleop102.9
End26.1
Second
3219
#13
149.84.0
125.5129.5
Auto19.0
Teleop111.5
End21.8
red by 6.7
143.12.2
139.8142.0
Auto15.4
Teleop112.4
End17.8
Third
126.93.0
108.4111.4
Auto14.2
Teleop98.1
End13.0
red by 39.0
3237
#18
87.94.9
91.396.2
Auto13.1
Teleop67.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed