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Red195
695993.8
5683115.7
6350103.2
Blue305
568127.4
5941116.3
3393116.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2173100100400500195305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5683
#21
115.73.9
102.0106.0
Auto14.6
Teleop90.9
End8.4
blue by 11.7
568
#11
127.40.0
118.5118.5
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End22.4
Second
6350
#34
103.21.6
111.4113.0
Auto15.2
Teleop80.9
End5.8
blue by 13.6
3393
#22
116.83.4
122.3125.8
Auto13.9
Teleop91.5
End6.0
Third
6959
#33
93.80.0
93.593.4
Auto13.4
Teleop77.7
End3.6
blue by 22.5
5941
#27
116.30.4
113.9114.3
Auto11.4
Teleop93.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed