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Red254
5588138.0
3574135.7
5937117.5
Blue264
2929112.6
1983143.1
695993.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3272550100200400500600254264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5588
#17
138.00.9
134.8135.7
Auto16.8
Teleop107.4
End14.4
blue by 5.1
143.112.5
107.2119.7
Auto15.4
Teleop112.4
End17.8
Second
3574
#19
135.714.8
85.2100.1
Auto18.0
Teleop99.6
End17.7
red by 23.1
2929
#23
112.615.9
75.591.4
Auto16.1
Teleop88.9
End6.3
Third
5937
#30
117.514.9
84.999.8
Auto17.3
Teleop86.8
End14.4
red by 23.7
6959
#33
93.80.7
93.794.4
Auto13.4
Teleop77.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed