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Red16
4461103.2
1983143.1
457998.8
Blue413
2907107.0
5803171.5
3393116.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254285010020040050016413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.10.7
142.2143.0
Auto15.4
Teleop112.4
End17.8
blue by 28.4
171.50.5
162.4162.9
Auto25.3
Teleop127.9
End21.0
Second
4461
#24
103.20.8
108.6107.9
Auto13.6
Teleop85.1
End3.4
blue by 13.5
3393
#22
116.84.6
126.9122.3
Auto13.9
Teleop91.5
End6.0
Third
4579
#28
98.81.4
106.3104.9
Auto13.5
Teleop79.0
End6.7
blue by 8.3
2907
#20
107.00.3
103.4103.1
Auto15.2
Teleop82.9
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed