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Red112
568127.4
2929112.6
6503109.1
Blue422
5937117.5
2046211.5
4060109.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2213630100300400500600112422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
568
#11
127.41.9
120.3122.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End22.4
blue by 84.1
211.51.1
212.1211.0
Auto26.0
Teleop159.5
End26.8
Second
2929
#23
112.61.1
114.3115.4
Auto16.1
Teleop88.9
End6.3
blue by 4.9
5937
#30
117.51.9
120.0118.0
Auto17.3
Teleop86.8
End14.4
Third
6503
#31
109.11.2
111.6112.8
Auto13.8
Teleop84.6
End10.7
blue by 0.7
4060
#12
109.80.2
104.6104.8
Auto17.3
Teleop85.6
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed