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Red266
457998.8
5803171.5
3219149.8
Blue116
2928110.2
3574135.7
695993.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3772010100300500600266116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.51.9
164.4166.2
Auto25.3
Teleop127.9
End21.0
red by 35.7
3574
#19
135.70.0
136.0136.0
Auto18.0
Teleop99.6
End17.7
Second
3219
#13
149.81.4
147.2148.6
Auto19.0
Teleop111.5
End21.8
red by 39.5
2928
#32
110.20.4
109.6110.0
Auto13.5
Teleop89.1
End10.9
Third
4579
#28
98.81.4
101.5100.1
Auto13.5
Teleop79.0
End6.7
red by 5.0
6959
#33
93.80.6
95.094.4
Auto13.4
Teleop77.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed