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Red265
4060109.8
3219149.8
3238153.0
Blue280
3393116.8
488170.4
948145.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2743380100200400500600265280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#10
153.00.1
152.7152.8
Auto24.6
Teleop109.5
End19.6
blue by 17.4
488
#3
170.41.0
169.3170.3
Auto22.9
Teleop129.6
End16.6
Second
3219
#13
149.80.6
148.6149.2
Auto19.0
Teleop111.5
End21.8
red by 4.1
948
#16
145.61.0
145.0146.0
Auto19.2
Teleop111.7
End10.6
Third
4060
#12
109.81.8
105.6107.5
Auto17.3
Teleop85.6
End8.6
blue by 7.0
3393
#22
116.82.0
120.3118.2
Auto13.9
Teleop91.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed