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Red130
2907107.0
2927116.4
5937117.5
Blue321
2928110.2
4469150.9
3876106.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262302100200400500130321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#30
117.50.0
117.8117.8
Auto17.3
Teleop86.8
End14.4
blue by 33.5
150.90.8
149.1149.8
Auto15.8
Teleop112.2
End22.9
Second
2927
#25
116.41.3
114.8116.1
Auto14.6
Teleop86.4
End17.5
red by 6.2
2928
#32
110.20.0
110.0109.9
Auto13.5
Teleop89.1
End10.9
Third
2907
#20
107.01.3
104.1105.4
Auto15.2
Teleop82.9
End11.7
red by 0.8
3876
#29
106.20.1
106.1106.2
Auto15.5
Teleop80.4
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed