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Red172
3393116.8
2927116.4
2906126.9
Blue407
5803171.5
5937117.5
3238153.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2283730100300500600700172407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126.98.7
91.199.9
Auto14.2
Teleop98.1
End13.0
blue by 44.6
171.50.3
159.6159.3
Auto25.3
Teleop127.9
End21.0
Second
3393
#22
116.89.7
101.4111.1
Auto13.9
Teleop91.5
End6.0
blue by 36.2
3238
#10
153.02.0
150.1152.1
Auto24.6
Teleop109.5
End19.6
Third
2927
#25
116.49.2
77.686.8
Auto14.6
Teleop86.4
End17.5
blue by 1.1
5937
#30
117.59.8
99.8109.5
Auto17.3
Teleop86.8
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed83%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed