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Red372
2557152.0
2046211.5
304978.3
Blue211
4469150.9
488170.4
3574135.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310306250350400372211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.50.0
211.2211.3
Auto26.0
Teleop159.5
End26.8
red by 41.1
488
#3
170.40.1
170.5170.4
Auto22.9
Teleop129.6
End16.6
Second
152.00.8
149.2149.9
Auto21.7
Teleop120.1
End10.5
red by 1.0
150.90.1
150.8150.9
Auto15.8
Teleop112.2
End22.9
Third
3049
#35
78.30.4
77.077.3
Auto13.2
Teleop61.3
End5.1
blue by 57.4
3574
#19
135.70.1
135.6135.7
Auto18.0
Teleop99.6
End17.7