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Red327
1318201.7
1778155.3
3588120.8
Blue282
3223127.9
949126.8
6503118.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4052330100200300500600327282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.70.3
200.4200.7
Auto22.6
Teleop148.4
End30.7
red by 73.9
3223
#13
127.90.6
126.8127.3
Auto19.0
Teleop97.2
End10.9
Second
155.30.3
154.0154.3
Auto19.2
Teleop120.5
End15.0
red by 28.5
949
#12
126.80.9
125.2126.0
Auto17.7
Teleop95.2
End12.8
Third
3588
#24
120.80.1
120.4120.5
Auto13.7
Teleop95.0
End10.4
red by 2.5
6503
#15
118.30.1
118.4118.3
Auto13.4
Teleop88.2
End14.9