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Red372
360172.1
2906139.3
6350104.8
Blue191
948145.5
6443135.7
2976150.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313350100200400500600372191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#6
172.10.1
172.5172.4
Auto25.5
Teleop127.3
End18.0
red by 21.5
2976
#21
150.60.0
150.4150.5
Auto19.1
Teleop115.4
End16.1
Second
139.30.3
138.5138.8
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End18.1
blue by 6.2
948
#16
145.50.6
142.9143.5
Auto19.6
Teleop111.3
End17.3
Third
6350
#18
104.80.9
102.3103.2
Auto15.9
Teleop80.6
End11.0
blue by 31.0
6443
#11
135.70.1
136.0136.0
Auto16.7
Teleop101.7
End18.9