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Red170
292693.8
6350104.8
4918123.6
Blue384
1258128.0
2557173.1
3684112.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1693630100300400500600700170384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4918
#19
123.60.8
115.5114.7
Auto16.9
Teleop93.6
End13.8
blue by 49.5
173.11.7
152.0153.7
Auto21.7
Teleop137.6
End14.1
Second
6350
#18
104.80.9
103.2102.3
Auto15.9
Teleop80.6
End11.0
blue by 23.2
1258
#14
128.01.1
112.6113.7
Auto18.3
Teleop96.3
End12.9
Third
2926
#28
93.80.3
102.2102.4
Auto13.7
Teleop74.8
End4.4
blue by 18.7
3684
#31
112.50.1
119.0119.0
Auto14.0
Teleop85.6
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed