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Red265
4579105.2
1318201.7
5937112.9
Blue393
2929103.0
1425196.3
2557173.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513760100200300500600700265393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.71.3
193.1194.4
Auto22.6
Teleop148.4
End30.7
red by 5.4
196.30.4
187.5187.9
Auto21.6
Teleop136.5
End41.3
Second
5937
#35
112.90.7
113.4112.7
Auto17.7
Teleop84.7
End11.4
blue by 60.2
173.12.2
160.5162.7
Auto21.7
Teleop137.6
End14.1
Third
4579
#22
105.20.2
97.898.0
Auto15.2
Teleop79.6
End15.4
red by 2.3
2929
#33
103.00.6
109.5108.9
Auto14.6
Teleop83.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed