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Red381
2906139.3
6443135.7
949126.8
Blue196
948145.5
4461103.4
5468139.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333270100200300400500381196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
139.30.3
126.9126.6
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End18.1
blue by 6.2
948
#16
145.50.5
145.6145.2
Auto19.6
Teleop111.3
End17.3
Second
6443
#11
135.71.0
130.9129.9
Auto16.7
Teleop101.7
End18.9
blue by 4.0
5468
#26
139.70.1
147.0147.1
Auto16.2
Teleop110.0
End15.1
Third
949
#12
126.80.3
109.4109.7
Auto17.7
Teleop95.2
End12.8
red by 23.4
4461
#20
103.40.3
103.2102.9
Auto14.2
Teleop85.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed