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Red242
1778155.3
6503118.3
3223127.9
Blue239
2906139.3
2557173.1
3393102.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277309100200400500600242239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.30.7
149.5150.2
Auto19.2
Teleop120.5
End15.0
blue by 17.9
173.11.7
164.9166.6
Auto21.7
Teleop137.6
End14.1
Second
3223
#13
127.90.4
125.1124.7
Auto19.0
Teleop97.2
End10.9
blue by 11.4
139.31.0
128.7129.7
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End18.1
Third
6503
#15
118.31.6
113.3114.9
Auto13.4
Teleop88.2
End14.9
red by 16.1
3393
#27
102.10.7
105.3104.6
Auto14.7
Teleop82.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed