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Red388
1425196.3
948145.5
1318201.7
Blue284
2046207.4
2976150.6
1899114.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423291100200500600700388284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.71.4
195.5196.9
Auto22.6
Teleop148.4
End30.7
blue by 5.7
207.40.6
207.7207.1
Auto26.4
Teleop155.5
End26.9
Second
196.30.6
188.6189.2
Auto21.6
Teleop136.5
End41.3
red by 45.8
2976
#21
150.60.6
146.7147.3
Auto19.1
Teleop115.4
End16.1
Third
948
#16
145.50.8
145.8145.0
Auto19.6
Teleop111.3
End17.3
red by 31.3
1899
#30
114.20.1
114.9114.9
Auto15.6
Teleop87.6
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed