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Red252
4131132.2
3588120.8
2976150.6
Blue253
6503118.3
6443135.7
2557173.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264347100200300400500600252253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#21
150.60.6
147.3147.9
Auto19.1
Teleop115.4
End16.1
blue by 22.5
173.11.4
166.6168.1
Auto21.7
Teleop137.6
End14.1
Second
4131
#29
132.22.1
137.4135.4
Auto17.9
Teleop96.2
End20.3
blue by 3.5
6443
#11
135.71.4
132.2133.6
Auto16.7
Teleop101.7
End18.9
Third
3588
#24
120.80.0
124.3124.3
Auto13.7
Teleop95.0
End10.4
red by 2.5
6503
#15
118.31.2
114.9116.1
Auto13.4
Teleop88.2
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed