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Red252
292693.8
2976150.6
3219148.5
Blue298
323786.3
2906139.3
3574150.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293306200250350400450252298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#21
150.61.3
148.6150.0
Auto19.1
Teleop115.4
End16.1
red by 0.6
3574
#10
150.01.4
146.8148.2
Auto22.3
Teleop111.0
End14.2
Second
3219
#17
148.51.0
150.7149.8
Auto23.1
Teleop105.5
End21.5
red by 9.2
139.32.4
131.8134.3
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End18.1
Third
2926
#28
93.81.0
95.794.7
Auto13.7
Teleop74.8
End4.4
red by 7.5
3237
#32
86.30.9
89.488.6
Auto14.1
Teleop63.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed