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Red297
3786115.4
6350104.8
2557173.1
Blue115
2929103.0
3588120.8
1258128.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3392360100200300400500600297115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.10.7
169.0169.7
Auto21.7
Teleop137.6
End14.1
red by 45.1
1258
#14
128.01.4
126.3127.7
Auto18.3
Teleop96.3
End12.9
Second
3786
#23
115.41.0
112.3113.3
Auto15.4
Teleop93.2
End9.4
blue by 5.3
3588
#24
120.81.2
124.5123.2
Auto13.7
Teleop95.0
End10.4
Third
6350
#18
104.81.2
98.399.5
Auto15.9
Teleop80.6
End11.0
red by 1.8
2929
#33
103.00.4
105.2104.8
Auto14.6
Teleop83.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed