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Red234
3219135.9
4450161.1
4205119.1
Blue367
5803178.8
4461105.5
2557166.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693790100200300500600234367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#25
161.10.9
162.4161.5
Auto17.9
Teleop117.8
End24.7
blue by 17.7
5803
#10
178.80.2
182.1182.3
Auto21.8
Teleop127.1
End26.6
Second
3219
#34
135.92.0
147.1145.1
Auto21.3
Teleop98.8
End9.9
blue by 30.5
2557
#28
166.42.0
176.8174.7
Auto18.7
Teleop130.5
End13.3
Third
4205
#26
119.10.3
119.9120.1
Auto17.6
Teleop92.0
End6.5
red by 13.6
4461
#13
105.50.2
104.4104.6
Auto15.1
Teleop86.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed41%Face the Boss oddsMissed