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Red360
2903130.7
2046224.7
4512141.5
Blue231
4450161.1
4469146.2
6350114.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3892600100200300500600700360231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224.70.4
224.2223.8
Auto21.8
Teleop182.1
End23.1
red by 63.6
4450
#25
161.10.2
160.8161.0
Auto17.9
Teleop117.8
End24.7
Second
141.50.9
139.4140.3
Auto20.1
Teleop105.9
End11.5
blue by 4.7
4469
#30
146.21.1
149.8148.7
Auto16.2
Teleop111.0
End18.3
Third
2903
#12
130.70.7
131.3130.5
Auto14.1
Teleop107.5
End8.6
red by 15.9
6350
#22
114.80.2
114.0114.2
Auto17.5
Teleop87.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed