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Red194
3223150.9
1899109.8
4060121.4
Blue294
3219135.9
3574154.7
5827126.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643430100200300400500600194294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3223
#29
150.90.6
154.4153.8
Auto20.1
Teleop117.7
End11.6
blue by 3.8
154.71.5
152.6154.1
Auto23.6
Teleop116.6
End11.1
Second
4060
#21
121.40.4
123.6123.2
Auto16.2
Teleop94.8
End9.0
blue by 14.5
3219
#34
135.92.0
143.5141.5
Auto21.3
Teleop98.8
End9.9
Third
1899
#27
109.80.2
110.5110.7
Auto16.6
Teleop84.4
End6.9
blue by 16.5
5827
#32
126.30.6
124.6125.1
Auto16.1
Teleop98.8
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed