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Red389
2910210.7
1318203.8
3574154.7
Blue241
4469146.2
949138.0
1899109.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4581760100300400500600700389241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
210.70.6
212.1211.5
Auto19.4
Teleop165.9
End24.8
red by 64.4
4469
#30
146.21.0
148.7147.7
Auto16.2
Teleop111.0
End18.3
Second
203.80.2
203.9204.1
Auto23.7
Teleop148.4
End29.1
red by 65.8
949
#5
138.01.5
134.1135.7
Auto19.4
Teleop108.9
End7.4
Third
154.70.8
154.1154.9
Auto23.6
Teleop116.6
End11.1
red by 44.9
1899
#27
109.80.6
110.7110.1
Auto16.6
Teleop84.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed