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Red176
360157.1
492132.0
2903130.7
Blue378
4205119.1
1318203.8
2557166.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513910100200300500600176378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#16
157.10.8
158.2157.4
Auto20.2
Teleop122.2
End12.8
blue by 46.7
203.80.5
204.0204.5
Auto23.7
Teleop148.4
End29.1
Second
492
#20
132.01.0
142.3141.3
Auto20.3
Teleop99.7
End10.1
blue by 34.4
2557
#28
166.42.5
179.3176.8
Auto18.7
Teleop130.5
End13.3
Third
2903
#12
130.70.3
131.7131.4
Auto14.1
Teleop107.5
End8.6
red by 11.6
4205
#26
119.10.4
119.5119.9
Auto17.6
Teleop92.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed42%Face the Boss oddsMissed