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Red122
2910210.7
4512141.5
4450161.1
Blue440
2976165.1
2046224.7
2412148.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2853800100200500600700122440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
210.70.1
210.8210.7
Auto19.4
Teleop165.9
End24.8
blue by 14.0
224.70.2
224.1224.3
Auto21.8
Teleop182.1
End23.1
Second
4450
#25
161.10.1
161.2161.1
Auto17.9
Teleop117.8
End24.7
blue by 4.0
2976
#15
165.10.1
165.1165.0
Auto18.7
Teleop136.8
End10.7
Third
141.50.3
141.8141.5
Auto20.1
Teleop105.9
End11.5
blue by 6.6
148.10.0
147.9147.9
Auto16.6
Teleop110.8
End19.4