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Red186
3663146.0
2605140.3
4205134.0
Blue386
2976138.1
3826138.1
3238148.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3163360100200400500600700186386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#12
146.00.0
146.1146.1
Auto16.0
Teleop112.4
End16.8
blue by 2.6
3238
#15
148.60.6
145.8146.4
Auto23.5
Teleop105.3
End24.0
Second
140.30.6
139.1139.8
Auto19.6
Teleop104.8
End20.1
red by 2.1
2976
#17
138.10.6
135.2135.8
Auto17.0
Teleop107.7
End17.7
Third
4205
#29
134.00.1
134.0134.0
Auto15.6
Teleop101.1
End18.5
blue by 4.1
3826
#13
138.10.4
136.1136.5
Auto15.4
Teleop110.6
End13.3