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Quarterfinal 3-12018 PNW District Mount Vernon Event
Red332
1318163.9
488158.1
3786111.5
Blue220
4469138.8
4089118.2
5588134.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357250100200300400500600700332220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#4
163.90.8
161.0→161.8
Auto20.0
Teleop121.9
End25.8
red by 25.2
4469
#19
138.80.6
137.6→138.2
Auto14.1
Teleop105.1
End23.4
Second
488
#2
158.10.5
156.1→156.7
Auto19.8
Teleop123.4
End15.7
red by 23.3
5588
#14
134.80.3
134.2→134.5
Auto18.2
Teleop106.2
End10.8
Third
3786
#26
111.50.2
111.2→111.4
Auto15.0
Teleop91.0
End4.7
blue by 6.7
4089
#11
118.20.4
117.6→117.9
Auto15.4
Teleop94.4
End9.9