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Quarterfinal 4-12018 PNW District Mount Vernon Event
Red400
2147130.5
2910168.0
4682116.9
Blue209
2930153.3
4077133.9
3812110.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335308100200400500600400209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#3
168.00.2
165.8→166.0
Auto19.2
Teleop124.8
End22.9
red by 14.7
2930
#22
153.30.8
151.8→152.6
Auto24.6
Teleop112.1
End20.7
Second
2147
#7
130.50.7
125.5→126.3
Auto19.6
Teleop103.5
End8.8
blue by 3.4
4077
#10
133.90.6
132.9→133.4
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End10.6
Third
4682
#20
116.90.4
114.1→114.5
Auto17.2
Teleop85.6
End14.1
red by 6.3
3812
#33
110.60.1
110.4→110.5
Auto14.0
Teleop88.2
End10.1