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Red435
1318163.9
2910168.0
3070138.8
Blue25
468185.5
3812110.6
2147130.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345233010020030040050060043525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.010.9
121.1131.9
Auto19.2
Teleop124.8
End22.9
red by 37.5
130.58.4
114.7123.1
Auto19.6
Teleop103.5
End8.8
Second
163.96.1
124.7130.9
Auto20.0
Teleop121.9
End25.8
red by 53.3
3812
#33
110.66.3
100.3106.6
Auto14.0
Teleop88.2
End10.1
Third
3070
#23
138.87.2
103.1110.2
Auto19.0
Teleop103.9
End15.5
red by 53.3
4681
#39
85.53.3
103.8107.1
Auto13.1
Teleop70.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed