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Red303
4450164.3
7118105.8
4180121.8
Blue307
4077133.9
4089118.2
4512120.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2602730100200400500600700303307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.37.8
117.5125.3
Auto17.8
Teleop126.9
End20.4
red by 30.4
4077
#10
133.910.1
109.1119.2
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End10.6
Second
4180
#27
121.87.7
98.9106.6
Auto14.3
Teleop94.9
End13.0
red by 1.4
4512
#18
120.43.4
97.1100.5
Auto18.9
Teleop95.5
End6.4
Third
7118
#28
105.82.8
85.488.2
Auto15.0
Teleop81.8
End11.1
blue by 12.5
4089
#11
118.25.0
99.7104.7
Auto15.4
Teleop94.4
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed