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Red250
4173115.0
5827121.0
4512120.4
Blue179
3812110.6
2903118.1
4682116.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2672410100200300400500250179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5827
#32
121.04.5
111.6116.1
Auto16.0
Teleop93.4
End10.5
red by 2.9
2903
#34
118.12.8
106.9109.8
Auto14.1
Teleop97.2
End9.9
Second
4512
#18
120.43.7
100.5104.2
Auto18.9
Teleop95.5
End6.4
red by 3.5
4682
#20
116.90.9
108.1109.0
Auto17.2
Teleop85.6
End14.1
Third
4173
#16
115.02.8
102.9105.7
Auto15.3
Teleop88.8
End15.0
red by 4.4
3812
#33
110.60.1
106.6106.5
Auto14.0
Teleop88.2
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed