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Red291
3663146.0
4683100.9
7118105.8
Blue223
1318163.9
2980131.2
2147130.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2093270100300400500291223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#12
146.02.6
137.8140.4
Auto16.0
Teleop112.4
End16.8
blue by 18.0
163.92.9
138.6141.5
Auto20.0
Teleop121.9
End25.8
Second
7118
#28
105.83.3
93.596.8
Auto15.0
Teleop81.8
End11.1
blue by 25.4
2980
#21
131.25.3
112.6117.9
Auto16.3
Teleop98.2
End17.6
Third
4683
#35
100.90.5
97.597.0
Auto13.4
Teleop84.1
End7.5
blue by 29.6
130.50.4
125.5125.0
Auto19.6
Teleop103.5
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed