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Red119
1595113.0
468185.5
2910168.0
Blue220
4173115.0
488158.1
2903118.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2852740100200400500600700119220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.06.6
150.9157.5
Auto19.2
Teleop124.8
End22.9
red by 9.9
488
#2
158.12.6
140.3142.9
Auto19.8
Teleop123.4
End15.7
Second
1595
#31
113.01.1
123.9125.0
Auto15.0
Teleop89.2
End11.4
blue by 5.2
2903
#34
118.11.3
110.7112.0
Auto14.1
Teleop97.2
End9.9
Third
4681
#39
85.53.8
103.9100.0
Auto13.1
Teleop70.3
End1.5
blue by 29.6
4173
#16
115.02.2
108.1110.3
Auto15.3
Teleop88.8
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed