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Red220
4180121.8
5588134.8
2976138.1
Blue360
3238148.6
3070138.8
2605140.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277293100200400500220360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#17
138.16.5
110.5117.0
Auto17.0
Teleop107.7
End17.7
blue by 10.5
3238
#15
148.60.2
129.3129.1
Auto23.5
Teleop105.3
End24.0
Second
5588
#14
134.80.1
127.5127.6
Auto18.2
Teleop106.2
End10.8
blue by 5.5
140.30.3
121.4121.8
Auto19.6
Teleop104.8
End20.1
Third
4180
#27
121.80.3
119.4119.1
Auto14.3
Teleop94.9
End13.0
blue by 17.0
3070
#23
138.83.3
122.1125.4
Auto19.0
Teleop103.9
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed