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Red202
2147130.5
4060103.0
4915169.4
Blue248
3812110.6
4911166.3
3826138.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300293100200400500202248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.46.7
150.3156.9
Auto23.6
Teleop119.9
End27.1
red by 3.1
166.36.1
147.5153.5
Auto20.6
Teleop128.6
End15.3
Second
130.50.7
125.0124.3
Auto19.6
Teleop103.5
End8.8
blue by 7.6
3826
#13
138.13.5
122.9126.5
Auto15.4
Teleop110.6
End13.3
Third
4060
#30
103.00.3
114.0113.7
Auto16.6
Teleop81.2
End7.5
blue by 7.6
3812
#33
110.60.3
105.9105.6
Auto14.0
Teleop88.2
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed