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Red315
4077133.9
2605140.3
4911166.3
Blue136
1294108.4
4683100.9
3238148.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062900100200400500600315136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.313.0
101.9114.9
Auto20.6
Teleop128.6
End15.3
red by 17.7
3238
#15
148.612.5
107.1119.6
Auto23.5
Teleop105.3
End24.0
Second
140.314.8
85.2100.1
Auto19.6
Teleop104.8
End20.1
red by 31.9
1294
#38
108.414.9
84.399.2
Auto14.8
Teleop80.5
End12.4
Third
4077
#10
133.914.9
84.299.1
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End10.6
red by 33.0
4683
#35
100.916.8
67.684.4
Auto13.4
Teleop84.1
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed