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Red271
488158.1
3238148.6
4512120.4
Blue386
3663146.0
1318163.9
3812110.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3152660100200400500600271386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#2
158.13.0
143.7146.7
Auto19.8
Teleop123.4
End15.7
blue by 5.8
163.93.8
143.0146.8
Auto20.0
Teleop121.9
End25.8
Second
3238
#15
148.64.5
131.9136.4
Auto23.5
Teleop105.3
End24.0
red by 2.6
3663
#12
146.00.1
142.6142.7
Auto16.0
Teleop112.4
End16.8
Third
4512
#18
120.44.0
111.6115.6
Auto18.9
Teleop95.5
End6.4
red by 9.8
3812
#33
110.60.8
105.6104.8
Auto14.0
Teleop88.2
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed