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Red351
2980131.2
488158.1
2605140.3
Blue235
4077133.9
4205134.0
2903118.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337258100200300400500600351235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#2
158.12.2
146.7149.0
Auto19.8
Teleop123.4
End15.7
red by 24.1
4205
#29
134.03.4
127.7131.1
Auto15.6
Teleop101.1
End18.5
Second
140.33.4
130.9134.3
Auto19.6
Teleop104.8
End20.1
red by 6.3
4077
#10
133.92.2
134.8132.6
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End10.6
Third
2980
#21
131.22.7
121.9124.6
Auto16.3
Teleop98.2
End17.6
red by 13.1
2903
#34
118.10.6
113.2113.9
Auto14.1
Teleop97.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed