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Red292
1595113.0
2147130.5
4512120.4
Blue241
4911166.3
1294108.4
468185.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282280200250300350292241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
130.50.6
122.2122.9
Auto19.6
Teleop103.5
End8.8
blue by 35.8
166.34.5
156.9161.4
Auto20.6
Teleop128.6
End15.3
Second
4512
#18
120.42.9
115.6118.5
Auto18.9
Teleop95.5
End6.4
red by 12.0
1294
#38
108.42.7
115.6112.9
Auto14.8
Teleop80.5
End12.4
Third
1595
#31
113.02.3
117.1114.8
Auto15.0
Teleop89.2
End11.4
red by 27.5
4681
#39
85.51.6
92.190.5
Auto13.1
Teleop70.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed