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Red350
5827121.0
3826138.1
2980131.2
Blue204
2910168.0
4180121.8
4512120.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276335100200300400500350204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#13
138.12.6
130.9133.5
Auto15.4
Teleop110.6
End13.3
blue by 29.9
168.01.8
164.5166.3
Auto19.2
Teleop124.8
End22.9
Second
2980
#21
131.22.5
124.6127.0
Auto16.3
Teleop98.2
End17.6
red by 9.4
4180
#27
121.80.2
123.1123.3
Auto14.3
Teleop94.9
End13.0
Third
5827
#32
121.00.5
121.4121.9
Auto16.0
Teleop93.4
End10.5
red by 0.6
4512
#18
120.42.2
118.5120.7
Auto18.9
Teleop95.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed