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Red356
3268114.5
4089118.2
5588134.8
Blue219
3812110.6
2907111.1
2980131.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062470100200400500356219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5588
#14
134.80.6
133.5134.2
Auto18.2
Teleop106.2
End10.8
red by 3.6
2980
#21
131.22.5
128.7131.2
Auto16.3
Teleop98.2
End17.6
Second
4089
#11
118.20.8
116.7117.6
Auto15.4
Teleop94.4
End9.9
red by 7.2
2907
#36
111.13.2
114.2111.1
Auto17.5
Teleop86.6
End3.5
Third
3268
#24
114.51.1
113.4114.5
Auto14.9
Teleop89.8
End12.4
red by 3.9
3812
#33
110.60.8
109.6110.4
Auto14.0
Teleop88.2
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed