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Red342
1983179.2
3663176.6
4450163.7
Blue331
1318203.5
2046218.2
2733136.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31440502006008001,000342331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.20.2
178.9179.1
Auto22.7
Teleop138.1
End20.5
blue by 39.0
218.20.3
217.6217.9
Auto22.5
Teleop176.6
End18.9
Second
176.60.4
175.8176.2
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End26.5
blue by 26.9
1318
#11
203.50.2
203.2203.4
Auto23.4
Teleop146.1
End34.8
Third
4450
#27
163.70.5
164.6164.1
Auto18.6
Teleop120.4
End26.0
red by 27.1
2733
#21
136.60.2
137.1136.9
Auto18.6
Teleop104.1
End13.5