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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Peak Performance
Red390
1318203.5
2046218.2
2733136.6
Blue200
2930162.9
2557183.6
1778146.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3972930100200500600390200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.20.3
216.2216.5
Auto22.5
Teleop176.6
End18.9
red by 34.6
183.60.1
183.6183.6
Auto20.6
Teleop138.0
End22.9
Second
1318
#11
203.50.0
202.8202.8
Auto23.4
Teleop146.1
End34.8
red by 40.6
2930
#13
162.90.1
162.8162.9
Auto21.9
Teleop120.0
End19.5
Third
2733
#21
136.60.6
139.3138.8
Auto18.6
Teleop104.1
End13.5
blue by 9.8
1778
#22
146.40.3
145.9146.2
Auto17.0
Teleop120.2
End8.0