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Qual 102018 Peak Performance
Red440
1318203.5
9994112.4
2910222.1
Blue253
2811180.7
4131139.9
1778146.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3862630200600800440253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#4
222.10.4
219.7→219.3
Auto20.8
Teleop171.3
End30.3
red by 41.4
2811
#28
180.71.1
187.0→185.9
Auto21.0
Teleop143.3
End12.1
Second
1318
#11
203.50.7
203.6→202.9
Auto23.4
Teleop146.1
End34.8
red by 57.1
1778
#22
146.40.6
147.1→146.5
Auto17.0
Teleop120.2
End8.0
Third
9994
#15
112.42.9
86.6→89.5
Auto16.8
Teleop88.6
End9.1
blue by 27.6
4131
#12
139.90.8
143.2→142.4
Auto16.6
Teleop97.2
End25.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed