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Red254
5588137.0
360159.3
4450163.7
Blue470
5827121.9
1983179.2
2910222.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2504020100200300500600700254470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#27
163.71.8
171.0169.2
Auto18.6
Teleop120.4
End26.0
blue by 58.4
222.10.3
219.3219.6
Auto20.8
Teleop171.3
End30.3
Second
360
#25
159.32.3
165.6163.3
Auto21.2
Teleop124.5
End13.4
blue by 19.9
179.20.9
172.6173.5
Auto22.7
Teleop138.1
End20.5
Third
5588
#18
137.00.2
136.7136.5
Auto16.2
Teleop105.8
End15.9
red by 15.0
5827
#23
121.90.2
121.0120.8
Auto16.7
Teleop95.7
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed