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Red242
2928152.2
6350115.4
9994112.4
Blue471
1983179.2
2557183.6
1318203.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1924500100300400500600700242471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#20
152.21.1
153.8152.7
Auto20.8
Teleop109.1
End23.6
blue by 51.3
1318
#11
203.50.5
202.9202.5
Auto23.4
Teleop146.1
End34.8
Second
6350
#14
115.42.1
108.9111.0
Auto17.6
Teleop86.5
End12.1
blue by 68.1
183.62.7
188.9186.2
Auto20.6
Teleop138.0
End22.9
Third
9994
#15
112.46.7
93.199.8
Auto16.8
Teleop88.6
End9.1
blue by 66.8
179.21.5
173.5174.9
Auto22.7
Teleop138.1
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed59%Face the Boss oddsEarned