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Red381
2557183.6
2046218.2
360159.3
Blue232
5803186.4
2811180.7
3145136.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4002830100200500600700800381232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.20.5
215.7216.2
Auto22.5
Teleop176.6
End18.9
red by 31.9
186.40.1
187.9187.8
Auto22.1
Teleop129.9
End33.9
Second
183.61.6
186.2184.5
Auto20.6
Teleop138.0
End22.9
red by 2.8
2811
#28
180.70.8
182.3181.6
Auto21.0
Teleop143.3
End12.1
Third
360
#25
159.31.6
161.6160.0
Auto21.2
Teleop124.5
End13.4
red by 23.3
3145
#24
136.01.4
137.4136.0
Auto19.5
Teleop100.8
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
56%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed