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Qual 262018 Peak Performance
Red474
2557183.6
2930162.9
3663176.6
Blue379
5588137.0
1318203.5
2522174.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369338100200300400500474379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#9
183.61.0
184.5→183.6
Auto20.6
Teleop138.0
End22.9
blue by 19.9
1318
#11
203.50.1
202.7→202.8
Auto23.4
Teleop146.1
End34.8
Second
3663
#1
176.61.6
170.3→171.8
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End26.5
red by 2.3
2522
#16
174.30.6
175.3→174.7
Auto26.5
Teleop130.4
End15.1
Third
2930
#13
162.90.7
163.5→162.8
Auto21.9
Teleop120.0
End19.5
red by 26.0
5588
#18
137.00.1
136.4→136.5
Auto16.2
Teleop105.8
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
41%Face the Boss oddsEarned17%Face the Boss oddsMissed